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许志伟
职位: 长聘副教授
最高学历: 香港科技大学经济学博士
职位: 长聘副教授
最高学历: 香港科技大学经济学博士
办公电话: 0755-2603 5230
办公室:汇丰大楼612
Email:xuzhiwei09@phbs.pku.edu.cn
研究领域: 宏观金融,经济周期,中国经济
办公电话: 0755-2603 5230
办公室: 汇丰大楼612
Email: xuzhiwei09@phbs.pku.edu.cn
研究领域: 宏观金融,经济周期,中国经济
简介
科研
发表论文:
国际期刊
1. Flight to Housing in China, (with Feng Dong, Jianfeng Liu and Bo Zhao), forthcoming, Journal of Economic and Dynamics Control.
2. Bubbly Bitcoin, (with Feng Dong and Yu Zhang), 2021, conditionally accepted, economic Theory.
3. Economic Slowdown and Housing Dynamics in China: A Tale of Two Investments by Firms, (with Feng Dong, Yumei Guo and Yuchao Peng), 2021, conditionally accepted, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
4. Financing the Green (with Haichao Fan, Yuchao Peng, Huanhuan Wang), 2021. Journal of Development Economics.
5. Trump's Effect on the Chinese Stock Market, (with Shijun Guo and Yang Jiao), 2020, accepted at Journal of Asian Economics.
6. Interest Rate Liberalization and Capital Misallocation (with Zheng Liu and Pengfei Wang), 2015, forthcoming, American Economic Journal: Macro.
7. Cycles of Credit Expansion and Misallocation: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly, (with Feng Dong), 2020, Journal of Economic Theory,该文获2020中国信息经济学会优秀成果奖。
8. Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends, (with Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen), Review of Economic Dynamics, 2018.
9. Two-Way Capital Flows and Global Imbalances: A Neoclassical Approach (with Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen), 2016, Economic Journal,该文获2016浦山世界经济学青年论文奖。
10. News Shock, Firm Dynamics and Business Cycles: Evidence and Theory (with Haichao Fan, Xiang Gao and Jenny Xu), 2016, Journal of Economic and Dynamics Control.
11. A Bayesian DSGE Model of Stock Market Bubbles and Business Cycles (with Jianjun Miao and Pengfei Wang), 2015, Quantitative Economics.
12. What Inventories Tell Us about Aggregate Fluctuations -- A Tractable Approach to (S,s) Policies (with Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen), 2014, Journal of Economic and Dynamics Control.
13. Firm Dynamics in News-Driven Business Cycles: The Role of Endogenous Survival Rate (with Haichao Fan), 2014, Applied Economics.
14. Univariate Unobserved-Component Model with a Non-Random Walk Permanent Component, 2013, Applied Economics.
中文期刊
1. 许志伟、薛鹤翔、罗大庆,融资约束与中国经济波动——新凯恩斯主义框架内的动态分析,《经济学季刊》,2010。
2. 吴化斌、许志伟、胡永刚、鄢萍,消息冲击下的财政政策及其宏观影响,《管理世界》,2011。
3. 许志伟、吴化斌,企业组织资本对中国宏观经济波动的影响,《管理世界》,2012。
4. 许志伟、薛鹤翔、车大为,中国存货投资的周期性研究——基于采购经理人指数的动态视角,《经济研究》,2012。
5. 许志伟、吴化斌、周晶,个人所得税改革的宏观福利分析,《管理世界》,2013,(人大复印报刊资料《财政与税务》2014年03期全文转载、《中国社会科学文摘》2014第4期长文转载)。
6. 许志伟、樊海潮、薛鹤翔,公众预期、货币供给与通货膨胀动态----新凯恩斯框架下的异质性预期及其影响,《经济学季刊》,2015, 封面文章,(《国际货币评论》2015第11期全文转载)。
7. 徐丽芳、许志伟(通讯作者)、王鹏飞,金融发展与国民储蓄率,《经济研究》,2017(人大复印报刊资料《金融与保险》2017年06期全文转载)。
8. 朱军、许志伟(通讯作者),财政分权、地区间竞争与中国经济波动---多级政府框架下的动态一般均衡分析,《经济研究》,2018(《中国社会科学网》转载),该文获2020江苏省哲学社科优秀成果二等奖。
9. 许志伟、王文甫,经济政策不确定性对宏观经济的影响,《经济学季刊》2018(人大复印报刊资料《国民经济管理》2019年06期转载)。
10. 许志伟、刘建丰,收入不确定性、资产配置和货币政策选择,《经济研究》,2019。
11. 张军、樊海潮、许志伟、周龙飞,GDP增速的结构性下降---基于官员考核机制的视角,《经济研究》,2020。
12. 董丰、许志伟(通讯作者),刚性泡沫:基于金融风险与刚性兑付的动态一般均衡分析,《经济研究》,2020。
13. 许志伟、林仁文,我国总量生产函数的贝叶斯估计---基于动态随机一般均衡的视角,《世界经济文汇》,2011。
14. 刘建丰、许志伟、潘英丽,中国经济改革过程中的货币化进程:一个再思考,《财经研究》,2018。
15. 王瑞祥、许志伟、王文甫,国企创新、民企融资与经济结构调整,《世界经济文汇》,2018,(《新华文摘》转载)。
16. 詹新宇、许志伟、刘建丰,预算规则下的财政政策宏观效应--基于混合预期的新凯恩斯DSGE分析,《财贸经济》,2018,(人大复印报刊资料《财政与税务》2019年03期全文转载)。
17. 姜佳祺、许志伟,经济波动与宏观审慎:银行负债渠道的视角,《当代经济科学》,2019。
18. 许志伟、樊海潮、王岑郁,美国货币政策对中国经济的溢出效应研究,《财经研究》,2020。
19. 刘建丰、于雪、彭俞超、许志伟,房产税对宏观经济的影响效应研究,《金融研究》,2020。
工作论文:
1. Financial Development and Aggregate Saving Rates: A Hump-Shaped Relationship (with Pengfei Wang and Lifang Xu), updated version: October, 2014.
2. Human Resource Management and Employee Incentives to Make Firm-Specific Human Capital Investments: A Dynamic Perspective, (with Guoguang Wan, Ruixue Zhang and Wei Shi and Jay Barney), 2015.
3. Local Government Debt and Regional Competition in China, (with Xi Qu and Jun Zhu), 2019.
4. Bubbly Bailout (with Feng Dong), 2019. Journal of Economic Theory.
5. Market Uncertainty and International Trade (with Haichao Fan and Guangyu Nie), 2019.
6. Bank Risk-Taking and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from China, (with Xiaoming Li, Zheng Liu and Yuchao Peng), 2020.
教学
北京大学汇丰商学院
1.高级宏观II(博士),2021
2.中国经济(博士),2021
3.中国经济(博士),2021
4.中国金融市场与投资(硕士),2021
上海交通大学
1. 国际金融 (本科,英文), 2014, 2015, 2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021;
2. 高级宏观I (博士), 2014, 2015, 2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021;
3. 宏观经济学(金融专硕),SAIF,2019,2021
4. 高级宏观专题(博士)(与董丰合上),2015, 2016;
5. 高级宏观II(博士)(与董丰合上),2017,2018,2019,2020